Small sample, anecdotal. Hit rate = share of tracked calls in profit now.
“I know I shouldn't buy any dips today as I was still shorting qqq and Soxx. But couldn't resist and used some of the profits to add more leaps today. $SPCX”
“Gold is being sold with tech as many funds especially foreign ones hold gold in their portfolio to hedge the USD I guess? When tech selloff, gold will be sold to cover margin calls. This is not about fundamentals.”
“Great, I opened aapl shorts today as well... high memory price and pretty mediocre growth can hardly sustain this $350 price level.”
“$ilmn's ER was disappointing and pretty negative towards the AIDD basket.”
“Heard $TSLA is at $50M ARR cybercab at Austin already, growing super quickly.”
“Market has way insanely higher expectations on earnings this quarter and short the tech earnings has very high winning rate. I experimented with buying 10/30 put options for a few tech ERs at $3K each this week, so far so good.”
“Yes $MSFT faded even with an awesome ER. The position is most crowded among mags and the fund flow is against it...”
“Feels like a conditional “Warsh put” today... If tighter credit threatens the capex cycle and jobs, the case for more hikes weakens... Sort of bullish to me, lol”
“this is super bullish for clouds especially $ORCL But negative towards semis as this is the first call of capex peak.”
“Still patiently waiting for long opportunity, tomorrow will be a key day. Also feeling cautious about mag7 as Anthropic IPO is near as LO will sell them to reserve for the IPO”
“This means any bounce of semis could be fragile and unstable. If you study the fund flow of KOSPI in June/July, it showed similar patterns.”
“This will be a sword of Damocles hanging above US stock market around midterm through year end... Will buy oil and XLE for this if there is any pullback.”
“This will be a sword of Damocles hanging above US stock market around midterm through year end... Will buy oil and XLE for this if there is any pullback.”
“Did Elon short $CRWV as well? 😓 [quoting @elonmusk: I think we’re going to see a lot of stranded compute in partially complete data centers]”